EconomySep 18, 2024
Real GDP Growth Projections Over the Next 10 Years 🌍
What We’re Showing
This graphic shows projected real GDP growth over the next decade, based on Ray Dalio's Great Powers Index 2024 report.
Key Takeaways
- India is forecasted to lead growth among all countries analyzed, fueled by strong investment, moderate workforce expansion, and low debt levels
- Three of the top five countries in projected growth are in the Middle East, led by the UAE, which benefits from high growth per worker and strong productivity
- The U.S. falls near the lower end of the pack, with an estimated 1.4% annual GDP growth, weighed down by high debt levels—265% of GDP across non-financial sectors and government debt at 123% of GDP
Dataset
Country | 10-Year Real Growth Estimate (%) |
---|---|
India | 6.3 |
UAE | 5.5 |
Indonesia | 5.5 |
Saudi Arabia | 4.6 |
Turkey | 4 |
China | 4 |
Russia | 2.9 |
Poland | 2.9 |
South Africa | 2.9 |
Singapore | 2.6 |
Mexico | 2.5 |
Chile | 2.4 |
Sweden | 2.3 |
Australia | 2.1 |
Argentina | 2 |
Ireland | 1.9 |
Hungary | 1.9 |
Czech Republic | 1.9 |
South Korea | 1.8 |
Brazil | 1.7 |
U.S. | 1.4 |
UK | 1.3 |
Netherlands | 1.2 |
Japan | 1.2 |
Canada | 1.2 |
Portugal | 1.1 |
Belgium | 0.9 |
France | 0.9 |
Spain | 0.3 |
Switzerland | 0.2 |
Germany | -0.5 |
Italy | -0.5 |
72
0
7.0K